(End of the American Dream)—Is it possible that the Yellowstone supervolcano is gearing up for a major eruption? When most people think of Yellowstone, they tend to conjure up images of “Old Faithful”, Yogi Bear and a television show starring Kevin Costner. But the reality of the matter is that Yellowstone poses a very serious threat to all of us. Yellowstone National Park in Wyoming is actually sitting directly above a massive supervolcano. The magma “hotspot” underneath it is about 300 miles wide.
This supervolcano has erupted before, and scientists tell us that when it fully erupts again it could potentially destroy the United States. So could such an eruption happen any time soon? Well, we know that Yellowstone is overdue for a major eruption, and we also know that there are hundreds of earthquakes in the Yellowstone area every single year. Scientists that monitor Yellowstone have been quite alarmed that some areas of Yellowstone have been slowly but steadily rising, and here in 2025 there have been some very unusual earthquake swarms. So yes, there are good reasons to be really concerned about what has been going on at Yellowstone.
I watch Yellowstone very closely, because an eruption of the Yellowstone supervolcano could end life as we know it in America in a single moment. Geologists tell us that a full-blown eruption of the Yellowstone supervolcano could have up to 1,000 times the power of the eruption of Mount St. Helens in 1980, such an eruption would have the potential to dump a suffocating layer of volcanic ash that is at least 10 feet deep on almost the entire country, and approximately two-thirds of the U.S. would immediately become uninhabitable.
The Yellowstone supervolcano is the biggest volcano in North America by a very wide margin, and a major eruption would permanently turn all of our lives completely upside down.
In fact, a major eruption at Yellowstone would permanently end America’s status as a superpower in just a single day.
So when Yellowstone shakes, that should definitely get our attention.
In late January, a magnitude 3.9 earthquake was keenly felt throughout Yellowstone National Park…
An earthquake near Yellowstone National Park shook parts of eastern Idaho and western Wyoming on Tuesday.
At about 6 p.m., a magnitude-3.9 earthquake was recorded about 15 miles outside of Mammoth, Wyoming, which is about 82 miles northeast of Rexburg. It was the second earthquake in or near Idaho today. At about 6:25 a.m., a magnitude-3.0 earthquake shook the ground near Stanley.
According to the U.S. Geological Survey, the earthquakes occurred at depths of 7 miles and 12 miles, respectively.
Subsequently, there were two very alarming earthquake swarms in the area during the month of February…
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February seismicity in Yellowstone was marked by two swarms.
A swarm of 18 earthquakes was located approximately 13 miles south-southwest of Mammoth, in Yellowstone National Park, during February 1–8. The largest earthquake in the sequence was a magnitude 1.6 on February 3 at 1:24 AM MST.
A swarm of 11 earthquakes took place approximately 5 miles south-southeast of West Thumb, in Yellowstone National Park, on February 11. The largest earthquake in the sequence was a magnitude 2.4 on February 11 at 1:44 AM MST.
I want to be very clear about something.
There is absolutely no reason to panic at this stage.
But I do believe that we should be watching.
So exactly what would a full-blown eruption of the Yellowstone supervolcano mean for the United States and for the rest of the world?
The following are 12 facts about the Yellowstone supervolcano that are more than just a little bit frightening…
- The magma “hotspot” underneath Yellowstone is approximately 300 miles wide.
- A full-blown eruption of Yellowstone could be up to 1,000 times more powerful than the eruption of Mount St. Helens in 1980.
- According to Google AI, a full-blown eruption of Yellowstone could send volcanic ash “up to 30-50 miles high”.
- According to Wikipedia, the Yellowstone Caldera has been “rising as quickly as 150 millimetres (5.9 in) per year”.
- There are more than a thousand earthquakes in the Yellowstone area every single year.
- In the event of a full-blown eruption of Yellowstone, virtually the entire northwest United States will be completely destroyed.
- A full-blown eruption of Yellowstone would mean that just about everything within a 100 mile radius of Yellowstone would be immediately killed.
- A full-blown eruption of Yellowstone could potentially dump a layer of volcanic ash that is at least 10 feet deep up to 1,000 miles away.
- A full-blown eruption of Yellowstone would cover virtually the entire Midwest with a very thick layer of volcanic ash. Food production in the U.S. would be almost totally wiped out for an extended period of time.
- The “volcanic winter” that a massive Yellowstone eruption would cause would radically cool the planet. Some scientists believe that global temperatures would decline by up to 20 degrees. This would result in a horrific global famine.
- America would never be the same again after a massive Yellowstone eruption. Some scientists believe that a full eruption by Yellowstone would render two-thirds of the United States completely uninhabitable.
- Scientists tell us that it is not a matter of “if” Yellowstone will erupt again but rather “when” the next inevitable eruption will take place.
Volcanoes that were dormant for centuries are starting to come back to life all over the globe.
The giant rock that we are all living on is becoming increasingly unstable, and that should greatly concern all of us.
If Yellowstone were to blow tomorrow, the consequences would be absolutely cataclysmic.
Hundreds of cubic miles of ash, rock and lava would be blasted into the atmosphere, and this would likely plunge much of the northern hemisphere into several days of almost complete darkness. Virtually everything within 100 miles of Yellowstone National Park would be immediately wiped out, but a much more cruel fate would befall those that live in major cities outside of the immediate blast zone such as Salt Lake City and Denver.
Extremely hot ash, rock and dust would rain down on those cities literally for weeks. In the end, it would be extremely difficult for anyone living in those areas to survive. In fact, it has been estimated that at least 90 percent of the population that is living within 600 miles of Yellowstone would be killed.
Experts tell us that such an eruption would dump a layer of volcanic ash that is at least 10 feet deep up to 1,000 miles away, and approximately two-thirds of the United States would suddenly become uninhabitable. The volcanic ash would severely contaminate most of our water supplies, and growing food in the middle of the country would become next to impossible.
In other words, it would be the end of our country as we know it today.
The rest of the world, and this would especially be true for those living in the northern hemisphere, would experience what is known as a “volcanic winter”. We would enter an extended period of “global cooling”, and average temperatures around the world would drop by up to 20 degrees. Crops would fail all over the planet, and severe famine would likely kill billions.
In my latest book entitled “Why”, I discuss the fact that the Bible tells us there will be apocalyptic natural disasters in the end times. Unfortunately, most of the population is not taking these warnings seriously.
Earlier this week, I posted an article in which I specifically mentioned the New Madrid Fault Zone, the Cascadia Subduction Zone, and the potential for a cataclysmic earthquake in southern California.
But a full-blown eruption of Yellowstone has even greater potential for destruction.
So let us keep a very close eye on Yellowstone, and let us pray that it does not erupt any time soon.
Michael’s new blockbuster entitled “Why” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.