(Just The News)—U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, working with federal law enforcement partners, apprehended 133 foreign nationals “during an enhanced targeted enforcement operation focusing on criminal illegal alien offenders and other immigration violators in western, central, and northern New York to bolster public safety, national security and border security,” said.
Among those arrested in a one-week operation were 84 illegal foreign nationals in the Buffalo and Rochester areas, and 49 in Syracuse, Albany, Rouses Point, and Massena.
Among them were 20 with criminal convictions or charges, including three convicted of homicide. Nine had been previously removed from the U.S. Four criminal search warrants were executed, including at worksites for federal violations “of bringing in and harboring certain aliens;” 18 administrative immigration arrests were also made.
Among those arrested were a Trinidad and Tobago national convicted of murder; a Dominican national convicted of sexual conduct with a child; a Salvadoran national convicted of murder and gang assault; a Dominican national convicted of manslaughter and criminal sale of controlled substance; a Chinese national convicted of assault; a Mexican national convicted of conspiracy to possess with intent to distribute methamphetamine; an Ecuadoran national with several DWI convictions, among others.
In another operation, ICE Buffalo agents removed two Honduran nationals illegally in the U.S. who were convicted of felony sexual offenses. Both illegally entered the U.S. “on an unknown date at an unknown location without being admitted or paroled by a U.S. Immigration official,” otherwise known as “gotaways,” ICE said. A record more than two million gotaways were reported illegally entering the U.S. under the Biden administration, The Center Square exclusively reported.
One Honduran was convicted in Suffolk County of attempted rape in the first-degree in 2021 and sentenced to seven years in prison. The other was found guilty of sexual assault of a victim under 13 and was later arrested for violating a judicial restraining order.
In another operation, ICE Buffalo agents arrested a Mexican national illegally in the U.S. and a “self-admitted member of the Paisas gang.” His criminal convictions include drug possession, resisting arrest and two counts of illegal reentry, according to ICE records. He illegally entered the U.S. multiple times as a gotaway dating back to 2015 and was previously removed three times. He remains in custody pending his fourth removal.
In another operation, Homeland Security Investigations New York agents led the effort to arrest a Tren De Aragua fugitive in the Bronx connected to home invasions and other crimes committed in Colorado. The 26-year-old Venezuelan national illegally in the U.S. was charged with being a fugitive in possession of a firearm and ammunition and detained. HSI Denver, Aurora Police Department, Arapahoe County District Attorney’s Office, U.S. Border Patrol’s Intelligence Unit, and New York Police Department were involved in the investigation.
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In New York, law enforcement officers have been investigating suspected TdA members and affiliates as violence has escalated. “There are substantial intra-gang conflicts within TDA, and, in some cases, TDA members have disavowed the gang and described themselves as ‘Anti-Tren,” ICE said. “TDA members have engaged in numerous shootings and murders, and much of this violence is driven by hostilities between TDA and ‘Anti-Tren’ members.”
In other operations, ICE agents in New York City arrested Mexican and Guatemalan nationals, all men who illegally entered and reentered the U.S. as gotaways and were deported multiple times.
In one recent case, ICE agents arrested a Guatemalan national illegally in the U.S. with convictions for sexual battery of a child and illegal reentry, serving time in prison for both convictions. The Guatemalan national illegally entered the U.S. multiple times as a gotaway dating back to 2014, according to ICE records, including claiming he was a Mexican citizen. He was previously removed three times and remains in custody facing a recent 12-month prison sentence issued by a court in Virginia.
In another case, they arrested a previously removed Guatemalan national illegally in the U.S. with convictions for assault and act in manner to injure a child. His criminal record dates back to 2012 when he was first processed for expedited removal under the Obama administration. He was again removed the next year after illegally entering as a gotaway. He again illegally reentered as a gotaway and in 2022 was convicted of third-degree assault and in 2024 of act in manner to injure a child and criminal mischief, according to ICE records. At the time of his latest ICE arrest, he had an outstanding warrant for DWI. He remains in ICE custody.
ICE is encouraging members of the public to share information about “foreign fugitives, transnational gang members or other criminal aliens who are in the U.S. illegally” by calling ICE’s Tip Line; 1-866-347-2423; internationally at 001-1802-872-6199; or online.
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.

