(DCNF)—MSNBC’s Willie Geist confronted Democrat Massachusetts Rep. Katherine Clark Wednesday on why President Donald Trump is more popular than her own party.
Geist cited a survey conducted by ABC News and The Washington Post which found that 37% of Americans trust Trump to do a “better job handling the country’s problems,” while 30% trust Democrats. While Clark said on “Morning Joe” that Democrats are the ones “fighting” for the American people, Geist pointed out that the public does not seem to see it that way.
“In a Washington Post/ABC News poll, Donald Trump’s approval rating was at 37%, extraordinarily low about handling the country’s main problems. Democrats, though, [are] even farther down at 30%. How do you explain that number and what do Democrats need to do better [at]?” Geist asked.
“Listen, this is where we are. Donald Trump made a promise that on day one of his presidency, he was gonna reduce costs for Americans, whether that’s groceries or housing, or child care, transpiration [and] energy. He has done just the opposite and what Democrats are doing is we are standing strong in saying ‘come back and focus on the American people. Put them in the center of the work you are doing. Make sure that you are doing everything you can to fight for them.’ We’ll reach across the aisle when we can, but what we have been met with in the House GOP is absolute resistance. They are loyal to one person, and that is Donald Trump. And as we watch him and Elon Musk take a chainsaw to the services that the American people deserve and pay for, all in order to enrich those already have great wealth and power. This is where our work is centered.”
Geist then asked Clark to answer his question on why the American public trusts Trump over her party.
“With all that said and I’m understanding your opposition to Donald Trump and much of the public’s opposition to Donald Trump, my question was why do you believe Democrats are rating lower even than President Trump right now if everything you said is true?” Geist asked.
“Yeah, well you know, we are going to continue our focus. Listen, we lost an election. We’re very clear-eyed about that. And we know that we have to show the American people that we are in it for them. But that is where we are. That is the roots of the Democratic Party, and that is the work we’re going to do every single day,” Clark said.
The same poll found that 7 in 10 Americans believe Democrats are “out of touch,” while 6 in 10 said the same about Trump. The president received negative marks on his handling of the economy, immigration and U.S. relations with other countries.
Clark said that Trump “tattered” the U.S. economy, though the consumer price index (CPI) eased beyond economists’ exceptions by only increasing 2.4% in March. The Producer Price Index fell 0.4% in March, marking the first monthly decline since October 2023, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Despite the decreasing prices, Trump has received negative polling on his handling of the economy mainly due to tariffs. A CBS/YouGov poll found that 48% of Americans believe Trump’s economic policies are making them financially “worse off,” while 19% say they are “better off.”
The poll also found that most Americans believe Trump is fulfilling his campaign promises and approve of his deportation programs.
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.