(DCNF)—A majority of Hispanic voters back core elements of the Trump administration’s deportation policy according to a poll released Monday that was conducted after the Los Angeles riots began.
Nearly six in 10 registered voters surveyed — including a majority of Hispanic voters and nearly half of voters under 25 — support the administration’s policy increasing the “pace of deportations … prioritizing individuals with criminal records,” according to an online poll from League of American Workers (LAW) and TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP) obtained by the Daily Caller News Foundation.
Notably, 53% of Hispanic voters as well as 49% of voters between the ages of 18-24 indicated they somewhat or strongly supported increasing the pace of deportations, the LAW/TIPP poll found. President Donald Trump made significant gains in the 2024 election among young and Hispanic voters — particularly among men of both demographics.
Just under half — 46% — of black voters polled said they supported the policy. Black Americans have long backed the Democratic Party but trended to the right in the 2024 election in which Trump won over 20% black male voters, according to a CNN exit poll.
In addition, 65% of the survey’s total respondents — including 61% of its Hispanic respondents — agreed strongly or somewhat that Trump deserves credit for the fact that the number of “gotaways” at the border has decreased by approximately 95% relative to former President Joe Biden’s sole term. The poll included this statistic and defined “gotaways” as “individuals who illegally cross the border and are observed but not apprehended” in the question to its respondents.
The online poll was conducted days after violent riots against Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) broke out in Los Angeles.
“As this polling makes clear, Americans chose Donald Trump precisely because of his America First approach to immigration, plus law-and-order generally,” LAW President Steve Cortes told the DCNF. “This survey reveals that violence and radicalism in Los Angeles and other cities only serves to reinforce the will of the people to achieve secure borders, orderly lawful migration, and peace in our streets.”
Cortes is a former senior advisor to both Trump and Vice President JD Vance, and he currently serves as the senior political advisor to political advocacy nonprofit CatholicVote.
LAW’s commissioned survey follows several polls and analyses which have found broad support for Trump’s immigration policies, including among groups that previously largely rejected such initiatives.
A Pew Research Center report in March found that a combined 83% of American adults believe that either some or all illegal immigrants in the U.S. should be deported. Only 16% indicated that no illegal immigrants should be deported, according to the Pew report.
Of the majority of respondents who said that “some” illegal immigrants should be deported, 97% of them said that those who committed violent crimes should be, according to Pew’s poll. Trump’s border czar Tom Homan has said repeatedly that the administration prioritizes violent criminals in its ongoing deportation operations.
Immigrant voters favor the immigration policies of Trump’s Republican Party by 8 percentage points more than the Democrats’ policies on the issue, CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten’s recent analysis of the American National Election Studies (ANES) found. In 2020, immigrant voters favored the Democrats’ policies on the issue by 32 points, according to Enten’s analysis.
“Look at that shift! A 40-point shift toward the right among immigrant voters,” Enten said Wednesday on CNN. “Republicans now lead on this issue by eight points over Democrats, more so than any other group that I could find. The group of voters who became more hawkish on immigration were in fact immigrants themselves, immigrants who are registered to vote in this country.”
TIPP conducted its survey for LAW online throughout the U.S. from June 9-11, among 1,584 registered voters. The poll’s credibility interval is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, and subgroups based on various demographic categories had higher credibility intervals due to smaller sample size.
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.