America has always been a beacon for those fleeing tyranny and hardship, but there’s a line between compassion and carelessness. Open borders and hasty refugee programs aren’t acts of kindness—they’re invitations to chaos that American families pay for in blood and treasure. The past week’s events in Washington, D.C., and Minnesota lay bare the folly of the Biden-era rush to resettle thousands without ironclad checks. These aren’t isolated slips; they’re symptoms of a system rigged against the very people it’s meant to protect.
Consider the ambush in the shadow of the White House. On a crisp Wednesday afternoon, two National Guard troops—Staff Sgt. Andrew Wolfe and Specialist Sarah Beckstrom—were gunned down in cold blood, mere steps from the president’s doorstep. Beckstrom didn’t make it; she succumbed to her wounds the next day. The terrorist? Rahmanullah Lakanwal, a 29-year-old Afghan who crossed the country from his home in Bellingham, Washington, to unleash what FBI Director Kash Patel called a “heinous act of terrorism.”
Lakanwal had worked alongside U.S. forces in Afghanistan, earned asylum this year, and slipped into the country under Operation Allies Welcome—the chaotic Biden program that airlifted a massive number of Afghans after the 2021 Kabul debacle. President Trump didn’t mince words: “It was a crime against our entire nation.”
This wasn’t some rogue outlier. A recent inspector general report flagged 55 individuals from that same evacuation as terrorism watchlist matches—people who bypassed scrutiny in the fog of retreat. Vice President JD Vance, who warned about unvetted inflows as far back as 2021, saw his fears play out in real time. “They shouldn’t have been in our country,” he posted on X after the shooting, echoing old clips where he slammed the resettlement as a reckless gamble.
Trump’s response was swift: a full pause on Afghan immigration processing and a vow to “re-examine every single alien who has entered our country from Afghanistan under Biden.” “If they can’t love our country, we don’t want them,” he added. It’s a stark reminder that gratitude isn’t guaranteed, and neither is safety.
Shift north to Minnesota, where another Biden legacy unravels in dollar signs and deceit. The state, once a model of Midwestern stability, now grapples with a $250 million fraud ring tied to a Somali-run charity called Feeding Our Future. Dozens of defendants—78 charged so far, many Somali nationals—allegedly cooked up fake meal programs during the COVID scramble, pocketing federal funds meant for starving kids.
Prosecutors say the scam laundered cash through ghost vendors and inflated claims of serving 60,000 meals a day, all while siphoning money back to Somalia. Worse, whispers from federal probes suggest trails leading to Al-Shabaab, the Al-Qaeda offshoot that’s turned Somalia into a three-decades-long hellscape of warlords and bombs.
Republican lawmakers, including House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, fired off a letter demanding a U.S. attorney investigation: “The sprawling fraud that has become endemic under Governor Walz’s failed leadership is troubling enough… the notion that these dollars could be flowing to foreign terrorist organizations adds a truly disturbing and urgent dimension.”
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Somalia’s collapse since 1991 has flooded the U.S. with refugees under Temporary Protected Status, shielding many nationwide from deportation. Minnesota absorbed the lion’s share, building the largest Somali diaspora outside the homeland. But as City Journal exposed, the influx brought more than families—it imported clan loyalties, informal hustles, and a deep-seated wariness of authority that clashes with America’s rule of law.
Trump called it out bluntly: Minnesota is “a hub of fraudulent money laundering activity,” ripped apart by “Somali gangs terrorizing the people.” His fix? Immediate termination of TPS for Somalis in the state, a move cheered by taxpayers fed up with footing the bill for their own fleecing.
These scandals aren’t coincidences; they’re the rotten fruit of policies that prioritize optics over oversight. The Biden pullout from Afghanistan—hastened by a Trump deal but botched in execution—left behind $85 billion in gear for the Taliban and a refugee pipeline riddled with gaps. In Minnesota, lax audits turned welfare into a slush fund, with fraudsters exploiting the same generosity that sheltered them. One can’t help but wonder: How many more Lakanwals or launderers slipped through because bureaucrats feared “bigotry” accusations more than bullets or bankruptcy?
Trump’s playbook—vetting first, entry second—looks prescient now. Back in 2015, he proposed a “total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States until our country’s representatives can figure out what is going on.”
The media howled “racist,” but events like these scream for pause. His latest salvos, including crackdowns on Muslim Brotherhood networks funded by Qatar, signal a reckoning long overdue. The administration’s broader strokes—slashing refugee caps to 7,500 annually, deploying ICE surges, and ending non-citizen benefits—aim to reclaim control before the experiment spirals further.
America’s strength lies in its sovereignty, not its softness. The Guard’s blood on D.C. streets and Minnesota’s drained coffers demand we enforce that truth. Let refugees prove their loyalty through deeds, not just documents. Anything less invites the very threats we swear to repel. As Trump put it after the shooting, it’s time to “remove anyone who is not a net asset to the United States.”
For the sake of Wolfe, Beckstrom, and every taxpayer stiffed, that starts today.
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.