I am a retired attorney whose primary practice was not litigation but issue advocacy in the public sphere. I am writing to you in your specific capacity as the Supreme Court justice assigned to oversight of the District of Columbia Circuit, on behalf of a great many fellow Americans who share a sense of outrage and horror at the treatment of those who have been arrested and imprisoned in connection with the events of Jan. 6, 2021, in Washington, D.C., and at the gross and blatant abuse of power being wielded against them by both the Executive and Legislative branches of our government under the control of the Democratic Party, abetted and facilitated by ideologically aligned key leaders of the Republican Party, the established corporate news media and the newly monopolistic giants of the social media.
To those of us who grew up with a deep appreciation for, and pride in, the legendary implicit fairness of our nation’s constitution and culture – confident because of past experience that justice would ultimately prevail in all social conflicts and controversies because of a shared commitment by our leaders to the rule of law and objective truth – the current state of our politics and our popular culture seem distressingly surreal, a nightmare of lawlessness and insanity.
Those of us who get our news outside of the mainstream sources (which typically censor or misrepresent these things to serve the narratives of the conspirators) watch incredulously as one after another whistleblower steps forward with shocking testimony of ideologically driven/protected moral corruption and criminality at the highest levels of government, expecting each time that there will be an accounting, a consequence for the culprits and a re-affirmation of our foundational cherished ethics and ideals by “responsible adults” who bravely put virtue and principle ahead of political expedience and fear of retaliation. We are instead sickened to learn that those same institutions tasked with investigating and enforcing the law – our Department of Justice and FBI, for example – harbor and empower the most aggressive and destructive malefactors.
To whom can the people turn in this season of “government by organized crime” that has usurped our right to delegate power to whom WE see fit, by rigging our ballot tabulators like Atlantic City slot machines and stacking our swing-state judiciaries with partisan hacks whose allegiance is not to the law but to Don Corleone? Could our constitutionalist “deliverer” be you, Justice Roberts? We hope against hope that you are, even as we wonder why you did not allow the 2020 election fraud to be exposed in open court on the merits of the cases. Many conservatives are so frustrated and angry these days that they will sternly berate me for merely giving you the benefit of doubt that you were complicit in that coup.
To my knowledge there is no specific matter before you at this time that might restrict your freedom to investigate the J6 conspiracy beyond whatever boundaries of “trusted sources” you may be hedged within by those with a vested interest in hiding it. And so I offer you one single source that you may use to test whether you are getting the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth about the “J6 insurrection”: It is an exceptionally well-reasoned and video-documented report by Revolver News on the questions of corruption in the prosecution of the “J6” defendants and the possible orchestration of the Capitol breach by agents of the government. You may find it here.
I confess that even as an attorney I do not know the limitations of your power to take action against what I hope you will agree with me after investigation is an existential threat to our republic. (I suspect there are arcane corners of the law that are not part of legal training these days.) Nor do I know what powers you possess outside the scope of your office. But I do know that in the genius of the Founders they intended the seat you hold in the Judicial branch to be – above all other things – a check on the other two branches for the preservation of the republic, meaning that your moral duty is higher than your official job description. I thus implore you to rise to the role of the “responsible adult” who works to end this national disgrace by any available means, and at the very least to investigate for yourself and publicly take “judicial notice” of the hard facts of our present reality, before all trust in our government is lost.
As a pastor, I know that the only true deliverer for America is the same Jesus Christ who was once openly honored by the court you lead. I frequently draw attention to the case of Church of the Holy Trinity v. United States (1892) for the court’s own refreshing summary of America’s defining Christian history and its inseparability from our law and culture. Reportedly, you are a Roman Catholic whose own faith should align much closer to that of the Founders than to those abusing power today to serve contrary ends. You know that corporately as a nation we must give an accounting for the sin we have allowed to flourish in this land: the tens of millions of unborn children we’ve sacrificed and the intentional defilement through perversion of the innocence of those allowed to be born – on the altar of “sexual freedom.” But you also know that true repentance can spare us the consequences we otherwise fully deserve. In that context, you hold a unique place of responsibility and opportunity – an Esther as against a Haman – at a comparably critical point in time. I ask you to take “judicial notice” of that as well, in respect to the ultimate high court of the law above the law.
Respectfully,
Pastor Scott Lively, J.D., Th.D.
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.