U.S. life expectancy is dropping, and if you ask U.S. Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Robert Califf why, it’s not due to ultraprocessed foods, inactivity, stress, exposure to environmental toxins or drug overdoses. Rather, it’s the spread of misinformation that’s killing Americans, he says, as access to information online is causing people to make choices that are harming their health.
“Why aren’t we using medical products as effectively and efficiently as our peer countries? A lot of it has to do with choices that people make because of the things that influenced their thinking,” Califf told CNBC.1
“You think about the impact of a single person reaching a billion people on the internet all over the world, we just weren’t prepared for that,” Califf said.2 “We don’t have societal rules that are adjudicating it quite right, and I think it’s impacting our health in very detrimental ways.”
Misinformation Online Is Dropping US Life Expectancy?
In the U.S., life expectancy is three to five years lower than that in other high-income countries.3 In 2022, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) also announced that life expectancy had dropped for two years in a row from 2020 to 2021, declining by nearly one year.4
“That decline — 77.0 to 76.1 years — took U.S. life expectancy at birth to its lowest level since 1996. The 0.9 year drop in life expectancy in 2021, along with a 1.8-year drop in 2020, was the biggest two-year decline in life expectancy since 1921-1923,” the CDC stated.5
It blamed COVID-19 for 74% of the decline from 2019 to 2020 and 50% of the decline from 2020 to 2021, but also stated 16% of the drop was due to accidents and unintentional injuries. Among unintentional injury deaths, drug overdose accounted for close to half.6 Other contributors to declines in life expectancy, according to the CDC, include chronic diseases like heart disease, liver disease and cirrhosis, along with suicide.7
But Califf instead places primary blame for Americans’ declining health on that vague term “misinformation.” What’s more, he’s calling for increased regulation, in the form of “specific authorities at FDA, FTC and other areas” to find misinformation and counter it.8
“Califf described a public shift away from “truth” — at least as he sees it — as a bigger factor. He argued that online debate on issues related to health and medicine have led to people being “deluded” into gravitating toward ineffective or even dangerous advice,” American Watchdog reported.9 It continued:10
- Hand-curated links from conservative and Christian sites — NO legacy media garbage links. Patriots get their news every day at JDRucker.com
“Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, skeptics of face mask mandates and the vaccines that were rushed through the research and development process were often dismissed or demonized as purveyors of medical misinformation.
In recent months, however, many of the concerns expressed by such skeptics have been revealed to be legitimate. Nevertheless, Califf seems to believe that those who do not toe the line of supposed experts should essentially be silenced.”
Ventilators and Iatrogenesis Killed 30,000 in Early Pandemic
Califf did suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic played a role in the declining life expectancy, but claims that COVID-19 is responsible are also questionable. What’s often overlooked, for one example, are the numbers of people who died due to COVID-19 treatments like ventilators and other iatrogenic causes, as well as those who died from other causes but were labeled as COVID-19 deaths nonetheless.
“We still don’t have especially good studies on the actual causes of excess deaths by state and country when the world first went into lockdown in spring 2020,” the Brownstone Institute reported. “For political reasons, these deaths were all generally been [sic] lumped together as ‘Covid deaths,’ but this coding was appallingly sloppy.”11
The Brownstone Institute conducted an analysis of all-cause excess death data from the CDC during April 2020 — peak lockdown timeframe — to determine actual causes of death. Medical practices were often to blame:12
“This examination concludes that, contrary to popular belief, there was no uniquely deadly strain or variant emanating out of New York in spring 2020; this is clear from the fact that several states close to New York such as Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine experienced little to no excess deaths during that time period.
On the contrary, over 30,000 Americans appear to have been killed by mechanical ventilators or other forms of medical iatrogenesis throughout April 2020, primarily in the area around New York.”
Conservatively, the analysis revealed that about 30,000 people in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Massachusetts died due to mechanical ventilators and other medical iatrogenesis in April 2020. It’s also been suggested that 200,000 Americans died due to COVID-19 lockdowns and mandates.13
Medical Errors a Leading Cause of Death
Why else are Americans dying years earlier than their counterparts in neighboring countries? In 2016, Johns Hopkins patient safety experts, led by Dr. Martin Makary, calculated that more than 250,000 patients died each year from medical errors, making it the third leading cause of death.14
In 2022, the World Health Organization announced that unsafe care by medical professionals and hospitals result in a “horrifying” 2.6 million deaths each year, worldwide, with at least 250,000 of those in the U.S.15 And, in July 2022, the National Institutes of Health updated their library on medical errors, saying that number could be as high as 440,000 — and possibly even more because of lack of reporting — making it still the third leading cause of death.16
“The causes of harm vary widely: slips of the scalpel, lapses like mixing up lab results, faulty decision-making, inadequate training, evasion of known safety practices, miscommunication, equipment failures, and many more,” STAT News reported,17 highlighting the case of Betsy Lehman, a reporter who died while being treated for breast cancer, when she was given four times the intended dose of a chemotherapy drug.18 But Califf made no mention of the unacceptable number of people dying due to medical care itself.
FDA Commissioner Praises Risky Obesity Drugs
Aside from the inherently patronizing assumption that Americans are blindly getting bad health advice online, to the extent that they’re dying prematurely as a result, Califf went on to praise Novo Nordisk’s risky obesity drug, semaglutide, known by the brand names Ozempic and Wegovy.
Putting his credibility further in question, he parroted the increasingly popular rhetoric19 that medications are necessary to maintain a healthy weight, stating he has “great hope for this class of drugs … that are dealing with the axis between our gut and our brain.”20
“A lot of the things that we thought were willpower before, we’re now coming to understand that our bellies are signaling our brain and vice versa, through endocrine pathways,” he told CNBC.21
The long-term risks of semaglutide are unknown, but Califf downplayed potential risks, instead noting that he’s waiting for results of outcome trials to see if the drugs lower heart disease and stroke risk in people with obesity. “If that pans out, we’ll have some major decisions to make as a society,” he said. “When do we add the drugs to the advice that we’re giving to people in the general population?”22
It’s ironic that Califf appears so in favor of the drugs, which have ties to cancer. The most commonly reported side effects are gastrointestinal in nature, including nausea and vomiting, but concerns of pancreatitis, pancreatic cancer and retinopathy complications, including hemorrhage and blindness, have been reported.23
The cancer risks are a red flag, with one patient in the Sustain 5 trial developing metastatic pancreatic carcinoma about 65 days post-treatment.24 A pharmacovigilance study using the FDA Adverse Events Reporting System also looked into “increasing data on the potential risk of pancreatic carcinoma associated” with GLP-1Ras, including semaglutide, finding a clear association.25
“Based on this pharmacovigilance study, GLP-1RAs, except albiglutide, are associated with pancreatic carcinoma,” the researchers noted, adding, “Based on the bibliometric investigation, cAMP/protein-kinase, Ca2+ channel, endoplasmic-reticulum stress, and oxidative stress are potential pathogenesis of pancreatic carcinoma resulting from GLP-1RAs.”26
Already, the drug carries a black box warning because rodent studies found semaglutide causes thyroid C-cell tumors “at clinically relevant exposures.”27
Overdose Deaths Skyrocket
While pointing fingers at “misinformation,” Califf also neglected to mention that drug overdoses are a leading cause of injury-related death in the U.S.28 A study by epidemiologist Chelsea Shover of the UCLA David Geffen School of Medicine and colleagues reported that overdose deaths from synthetic opioids increased 10-fold in the U.S. from 2013 to 2018.29
And in certain areas, like St. Louis, drug overdoses have risen nearly 400% since 2015 in the Black community. “In 2020 and 2021, we lost over 400 Black men, over a two-year span,” Dr. Kanika Cunningham, a St. Louis family practice physician, told PBS. “We lost more people to overdoses than to COVID-19. This is a civil rights issue. It’s a human rights issue that we need to change. It’s a chronic disease. And we have stigmatized a chronic disease.”30
Further, according to an analysis of CDC data by Families Against Fentanyl (FAF), the drug killed more Americans between the ages of 18 and 45 than any other cause, including suicide, motor vehicle accidents, COVID-19 and cancer31 — but Califf didn’t mention it, instead pointing the finger at misinformation.
Why might Califf be skirting the issues of medical errors and opioid overdose deaths — and praising a weight loss drug that may cause cancer — while suggesting misinformation is dragging down U.S. life expectancy?
Significant portions of regulatory agencies’ budgets come from the pharmaceutical industry that these agencies are supposed to regulate. Pharmaceutical industry fees account for 65% of the FDA’s budget,32 and, at the FDA, 9 out of 10 of its former commissioners between 2006 and 2019 went on to work for pharmaceutical companies.33
So where is the “misinformation” coming from? Access to open discussion, multiple viewpoints and hearty debate is a cornerstone of a sovereign society, and the underpinning of free speech.
It’s urgent that we all take steps to remain free, sovereign individuals by protecting our access to information, which can be as straightforward as being guided by your own critical thinking and what your heart and soul know is right, and choosing bravery over obedience.34
Also, when weeding through information in your own life, it’s important to dig deep enough to unveil what’s real, and what’s, as in the case of Califf’s claims, real misinformation.
- 1, 2, 3, 8, 20, 21, 22 CNBC April 11, 2023
- 4, 5, 6, 7 U.S. CDC, August 31, 2022
- 9, 10 American Watchdog, FDA Commissioner Blames Misinformation for Life Expectancy Decline
- 11, 12, 13 Brownstone Institute October 7, 2022
- 14 Johns Hopkins Medicine May 3, 2016
- 15 Ideal Med Health May 6, 2022
- 16 NIH. Medical Error. July 4, 2022
- 17 STAT News August 4, 2021
- 18 Betsy Lehman Center for Patient Safety
- 19 Pediatrics e2022060641. January 9, 2023
- 23 J Investig Med. 2022 Jan; 70(1): 5–13., Precautions
- 24 J Investig Med. 2022 Jan; 70(1): 5–13
- 25, 26 Int J Clin Pharm. 2023 Mar 28. doi: 10.1007/s11096-023-01556-2
- 27 NovoMedLink.com Wegovy, Important Safety Information
- 28 U.S. CDC, Understanding Drug Overdoses and Deaths
- 29 Drug Alcohol Depend. 2020 Nov 1; 216: 108314
- 30 PBS August 16, 2022
- 31 Families Against Fentanyl, Fentanyl Poisoning is Now #1 Cause of Death in Adults 18-45 in the U.S.
- 32 YouTube, Dr. John Campbell, WHO, YouTube and funding November 7, 2022, 10:34
- 33 YouTube, Dr. John Campbell, WHO, YouTube and funding November 7, 2022, 9:15
- 34 YouTube, Awaken With JP March 5, 2022, 12:30
Bypass Big Tech Censors
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.