(Zero Hedge)—This probably goes in the ‘must watch’ category.
Tucker Carlson delivered an insightful speech at last weekend’s Risk On360! Global Success Conference in Las Vegas, where he began by explaining how just about everyone he knows is “angry and paranoid.”
Always trust your gut. If you feel like they're lying to you, they are. pic.twitter.com/zkKYtRUbrf
— Tucker Carlson (@TuckerCarlson) November 21, 2023
“I flew out here across the country this morning and spent five hours texting people … and I gotta tell you, every single person I texted, with the exception of my wife — who’s not on the internet at all — was angry and paranoid,” said Carlson.
“Seriously, and these are not crazy people. These are normal good people with like kids and stuff. With a vested interest in Americans’ success. These are not the burn-it-down caucus. These are the, you know, these are the people you want voting.”
Trust your intuition
Carlson suggested that people need to trust their gut, expressing a strong belief that the upcoming year would be particularly chaotic, and unlike anything the country has gone through.
“Your gut is the one thing that doesn’t lie to you. Your gut only has your interest in mind. It is not trying to sell you a product, or convince you to vote for it,” he said, suggesting that people use their intuition going into the upcoming chaos.
“I’m just telling you once again, what you already know, which is this is going to be — the next year is going to be, I think I’d bet my house on it, really like nothing we’ve ever seen in the country. And everyone can kind of feel that. You know, most of our perceptions come through intuition rather than reason.” said Carlson, adding “If something bad is about to happen, everybody gets jumpy and everybody’s really jumpy right now.”
“But if you’re close to your dog, you know, the dog knows exactly what’s going on … they just watch and they feel. And people are very much the same. And if something bad is about to happen, everybody gets jumpy. And everybody’s really jumpy right now,” Carlson continued.
Past the political stage
Tucker described politics as “a human-conceived system whereby civilized people settle their differences without violence, and by consensus,” and parties negotiate for an outcome that is a compromise on both sides.
“We’re past the political stage. Nothing that is happening now can be explained through conventional political terms,” Carlson opined. “There is no upside to the great trends of our age. So why are they doing that? What you’re seeing is evil done for its own sake.”
Tucker also criticized the transgender children’s movement, saying “There’s no upside to pushing transgenderism on our kids. Period. None… So why are they doing it?”
“If 40% of the girls in your 8th grade class identify as non-binary, that’s being pushed on them. What you’re seeing is evil done for its own sake.”
Tucker: "We're past the political stage. Nothing that is happening now can be explained through conventional political terms. There is no upside to the great trends of our age. So why are they doing that? What you're seeing is evil done for its own sake." pic.twitter.com/LRh1wJgFPV
— TheBlaze (@theblaze) November 21, 2023
Dire state
Turning to politics, Carlson offered a bleak assessment of the current landscape. He described the presidential race as a reflection of the country’s deep-seated issues, with candidates who are either out of touch or embroiled in controversy. This scenario, according to Carlson, is not just political but a fundamental shift in the way power is being exercised and contested in the U.S.
“You’ve got two people people running for president — one of them is literally senile,” he said, adding that Biden is “not running” the show at the White House, “Yet he’s standing for reelection at the age of 80.”
Trump, on the other hand… “Every time he gets indicted and every time they tack years onto this potential sentence, he becomes more popular — and now he’s winning.”
“Nothing that is happening now or that has happened for the last five or six years can be explained through conventional political terms.”
Woke liars
“It takes a very rare person to lie in the way that we’re being lied to and it takes a very rare moment to see lying at this scale,” said Carlson. “But the final fact is that they’re not just lying. They hate the truth. They’re offended by things purely because they are true.”
Tucker: "It takes a very rare person to lie in the way that we're being lied to and it takes a very rare moment to see lying at this scale. But the final fact is that they're not just lying. They hate the truth. They're offended by things purely because they are true." pic.twitter.com/H8wZFw5b7P
— TheBlaze (@theblaze) November 21, 2023
Empire of Lies
Carlson also lashed out against wokescold censors such as Media Matters, which Carlson described as “a censorship organization funded by George Soros and others who hate Western civilization designed to prohibit people from saying certain things,” adding “Well, the things they’re saying are 100% true. That’s why they prohibit it.”
“You cannot punish people for telling the truth period or else you become an Empire of lies,” he said.
Tucker Carlson dropping truthbombs:
"Media Matters is a censorship organization funded by George Soros and others who hate Western civilization designed to prohibit people from saying certain things. Well, the things they're saying are 100% true. That's why they prohibit it." pic.twitter.com/KufEZn539O
— Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) November 22, 2023
At the end of the day, Carlson advised people to retain their dignity, self-respect, and most importantly, their commitment to the truth.
“The right to say what you actually think,” said Carlson, “is the line” between freedom and slavery.
Bypass Big Tech Censors
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.