(End of the American Dream)—Decisions that are being made this month could dramatically alter the course of human history. If the Ukrainians decide to attack Russia’s Victory Day parade with a vast army of drones, the Russians would almost certainly absolutely devastate Kyiv in return, and any hope for peace in Ukraine would be gone. Meanwhile, negotiations between the Trump administration and the Iranians will determine whether an apocalyptic scenario unfolds in the Middle East in the months ahead.
Over the past few years, I have written extensively about “the wars of the apocalypse” in my articles and in my books. At this moment, 2 of those wars threaten to spiral entirely out of control. So let us hope that global leaders choose to make wise decisions when faced with tough choices.
There has been a lot of speculation that Ukraine could attack this year’s Victory Day parade in Moscow. Let us hope that this does not happen, because that would essentially be the equivalent of bombing our 4th of July festivities in Washington. The Russians would inevitably respond with fury, because this is one of their most important national celebrations…
Every year, the spring rain clouds over Moscow are carefully seeded with powerful chemicals to ensure clear skies for the annual May 9 Victory Day parade, Russia’s most important show of national pride.
This year, the threat from above comes not from rain showers, but squadrons of potentially lethal Ukrainian drones.
Already, in the days running up to this year’s parade on Red Square, multiple drone strikes have forced airspace closures at all four Moscow airports and heightened anxiety across the Russian capital.
2025 is the 80th anniversary of Victory Day, and dozens of foreign leaders will be in attendance.
It is being reported that even Xi Jinping of China will be there…
Tens of thousands of patriotic Russians are expected to line the streets, applauding as tanks and intercontinental ballistic missile launchers rumble past.
Putin has also invited an impressive array of foreign leaders, including Xi Jinping of China and Brazil’s Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, in part to project a personal return to the world stage.
The leaders of Belarus, Venezuela, Cuba, Vietnam and the Republic of the Congo are also expected to attend, alongside presidents of several fellow former Soviet states.
Can you imagine what would happen if Ukrainian drones start hitting the parade as all of those world leaders are watching?
Don’t think that it can’t happen. On Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday, the Moscow area was disrupted by Ukrainian drones over and over again…
Days before the Victory Day parade in the Russian capital — one of the largest public holidays and the most important events for President Vladimir Putin — chaos in Moscow’s airspace persisted for the third day in a row.
According to the Association of Russia’s Tour Operators, some airports have been closed, while around 350 flights have been reportedly affected.
At least 60,000 passengers have experienced disruption, with many of them left stuck on board planes for several hours.
Hopefully the presence of so many foreign leaders will restrain the Ukrainians from taking similar action on Friday.
If the Ukrainians do give in to temptation, the Russians would probably hammer Kyiv in retaliation. In fact, Irish journalist Chay Bowes is telling us that some Ukrainian officials are “moving their families out of Kiev in anticipation of a massive Russian response”…
Reliable sources here in Moscow are telling me that Ukraine is planning to attempt to “disrupt” Victory Day with “Serious provocations, worse than Drones”
So serious that Zelenskys’ inner circle is moving their families out of Kiev in anticipation of a massive Russian response
I am really hoping that things are quiet in Moscow on Friday.
Because if the Ukrainians do something really crazy, there will be no turning back.
On the other side of the world, President Trump is once again threatening to bomb Iran. Yesterday he was interviewed by Hugh Hewitt, and during that interview he explained that either the Iranians have to destroy their nuclear facilities or the U.S. will…
Host Hugh Hewitt asked, “Now, last night, I was on Sean Hannity, and Sean asked me what I thought about your Iran statements, and I said the one thing that President Trump has done, I think every day, since he got back, is tell Iran they have a choice. They can turn over the centrifuges and the uranium, or they can get bombed. Is that as explicit as you’ve made it to them, either/or?”
Trump responded, “It’s very simple. Yeah, it’s very simple. And I’d much rather make a deal, a really verified deal. We want total verification. We can do that. We have some very brilliant people up at MIT and various other [places]. We could do that very, very solidly. But I would much prefer a strong, verified deal where we actually blow them up, but blow them up or just de-nuke them. But the other — there are only two alternatives there: blow them up nicely or blow them up viciously.”
The Iranians are not willing to accept either of those two alternatives. They are insisting that they must be allowed to continue to enrich uranium, and they are not willing to move off of that position.
So that means that the “blow them up viciously” option is coming.
Prior to Trump’s interview with Hugh Hewitt, Vice-President JD Vance delivered a speech on Wednesday in which he also laid out the potential options…
“That would be really good for the Iranian people, but would result in the complete cessation of any chance that they can get a nuclear weapon. That’s what we’re negotiating towards,” Vance said in his remarks at the Munich Leaders Conference.
“As the President has said, that’s Option A and Option B — if Option A is very good for the Iranian people and even, you know, some of the folks, the leadership in Iran — option B is very bad. It’s very bad for everybody, and it’s not what we want, but it’s better than option C, which is Iran getting a nuclear weapon. That is what is completely off the table for the American administration. No ifs, ands, or buts.”
The Iranians are not going to dismantle their nuclear program, and the Trump administration is not going to allow them to get to a point where they can build their own nukes.
So an apocalyptic showdown with Iran is near.
Of course Israel would also be involved in any military action against Iran’s nuclear facilities, and Defense Minister Israel Katz just issued a very ominous warning to the Iranians…
“I also warn the Iranian leadership which funds, arms and operates the Houthi terror organization: The proxy method is over and the axis of evil has collapsed. You bear direct responsibility. What we did to Hezbollah in Beirut, Hamas in Gaza, to Assad in Damascus and the Houthis in Yemen, will also be done to you in Tehran.”
Wow.
Katz is not mincing words.
I would love to see a peace agreement that would keep an all-out war from happening, but at this stage both sides do not trust one another.
The Iranians do not trust the United States and Israel, and the United States and Israel do not trust the Iranians.
Of course the Iranians keep showing over and over again why they cannot be trusted. It now appears that the Iranians have been operating a secret facility that produces tritium that they haven’t told anyone about…
As Tehran and Washington continue negotiations over a potential new nuclear agreement, satellite images of a previously unknown facility in northern Iran—allegedly linked to the country’s nuclear weapons program—were published Thursday.
According to the report on Fox News, the site is located in Semnan Province, not far from known nuclear facilities. The Iranian opposition group National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI) claims the facility has been operating for over a decade and is referred to by Iranian officials under the codename “Rainbow Site.”
Iran insists the facility is a chemical plant. However, the NCRI alleges it is used for developing nuclear weapons and specifically for producing tritium—a radioactive isotope that can be used to enhance the explosive power of nuclear warheads. Unlike enriched uranium, the report notes, tritium has no commercial or civilian use, “casting further doubt on Iran’s longstanding claims that its nuclear ambitions are solely for energy or civilian use,” Fox News reported.
In the days ahead, I believe that we will discover that the Iranians have been hiding all sorts of things from us.
Once we start bombing their nuclear facilities, the Iranians will strike back with everything that they have got.
When Iranian missiles are falling on Israeli cities and on U.S. military bases throughout the Middle East, there will be no turning back.
So let us hope that cooler heads prevail.
And let us hope that cooler heads also prevail in Ukraine.
We are so close to the unthinkable, and it won’t take much to push us over the edge.
Michael’s new book entitled “10 Prophetic Events That Are Coming Next” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.